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Horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets for Thursday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 13 May 2021

Dave Nevison thinks one contender could be very well treated back on the Flat at York on Thursday. Enjoy every moment from day two of the Dante Festival and action from Perth, Salisbury, Newmarket and Clonmel live on Racing TV and Racing TV Extra.

1.40 York: Autumn Flight

This is his first chance to show that he has transferred his all-weather improvement for his new trainer to the turf.

He wasn’t good enough to feature in these competitive York sprints with Tim Easterby, but he has been raised half a stone in the weights since and I feel that the Knavesmire will suit him well.

He will definitely be on the pace, and a look at this field suggests he has been drawn on the right side. I expect the race to develop middle to stands-side, and it could be that Autumn Flight and another recent improver could have things to themselves.

He will not mind at all if conditions gets even softer, and he has already won for Hollie Doyle this year.

4.50 York: Polish

He is an improved performer for Fergal O’Brien over jumps, and his consistency has been a feature of his form.

He never fulfilled the undoubted promise of his second career start when successful on the Flat at Salisbury, while he has been placed in Grade Two events over hurdles without looking a natural. If he is simply happier and more straightforward now, he could well be chucked in off a mark of 76.

His trainer is a master of placing horses in the right races and could have found a good opening here, with several other known hurdlers alongside him.

I am not worried about his near three-month absence, while the fact Conor Brace knows him from the jumps and takes the ride here - claiming 3lb - is also a plus.

6.40 Newmarket: Aaddeey

I hope this lightly-raced four-year-old proves the class angle in a really interesting race with both improvers and established middle-distance handicappers.

The handicapper has rated Aaddeey rated 2lb higher than the ceiling of this handicap bracket and I am hoping even that assessment lenient. I am taking a strong view of his Newbury effort last time when a good second to Flyin’ Solo - who hopefully goes very well at York on Wednesday.

Aaddeey definitely looks as though he will stay and benefit from this step-up in trip, and I am hopeful that High Commissioner will set a decent pace in this fairly small field.

The Crisford yard is one that perennially sees in decent form and James Doyle riding here instead of York is a positive.

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